Northag Deployment and Balance of Force
- 1 Ne Corps, 3 Divisions, 1 Bde Forward Based, MDP around the River Esk, 48 Hours to deploy
- 1 Ge Corps, 3 Divisions, 2 in place, 1 would hold Dutch Korps area until relieved.
- 1 Br Corps 3 Divisions, 1 Bde held back in UK, the weaker division on more difficult terrain
- 1 Be Corps 2 Weak Divisions, holding difficult terrain, 50% reserve formations from Belgium,
- 3 US Corps, 3 Divisions, providing Strategic depth, if the REFORGER exercise went well. 30 Days to deploy.
Warsaw Pact Operational Plan
- The British are attacked by 3rd Shock Army a Tank Army, the Soviets would be doctrinaly unlikely to lead an attack with a Tank Army except under conditions where the defence was unhinged.
- It is doctrinally implausible that the Soviets would use a Tank Army in a pinning action.
- As outlined above, one front would probably be insufficient to take NORTHAG down.
Of Note, there are references that refer to Polish objections around the split direction of attack they would need to pursue, although additional Naval Infantry and Airborne assets seem to have been allocated to the Danish Peninsular which leave them with reasonably credible force ratios. The Strategic drivers for securing Denmark were primarily Naval and Air focusing on access to the North Sea for the Baltic Fleet and disruption of NATO Radar chains. (added 17 Dec 2013)
The Second Operational echelon could then be comprised of the 1st Baltic Front and the 1st Carpathian Front (originally posted as Belorussian and Ukranian, amended following analysis of Soviet Military District holdings, and the CIAs Warning of War in Europe). The biggest challenge would probably be getting the Polish army onto the start line given a trip wire scenario. The Map above which I have adapted probably sums this up.
German Soviet Front Composition and Deployment
Each Army is assumed to be 4 MRD and 1 TD in the case of CAA and 4 TD in the case of a Tank army, the idea is outlined in Victor Suverovs Inside the Soviet Army.
The Polish Army could also easily be restructured into a standard front given the incorporation of the Soviet 20th Tank Division into the tank Army, to create 1st Polish Front as follows;
- 1 PVA CAA; 16PVA TD, 1PVA MRD, 3PVA MRD, 9PVA MRD, 2PVA MRD
- 2 PVA CAA; 20PVA TD, 8PVA MRD, 12PVA MRD, 15PVA MRD, 4PVA MRD
- 6 PVA TA; 5PVA TD, 10PVA TD, 11PVA TD, 20TD (Soviet)
- 1 PVA Air Army
- 5 NVA CAA; 9 NVA TD, 1 NVA MSD, 8 NVA MSD, 11NVA MSD, NVA MSD (res)
- 2 GvTA as a CAA; 16GvTD, 94GvMSD, 21MSD, 207MSD, 6MSD (fm NGSF)
- 3rd Shock Army TA; 7GvTD, 10GvTD, 12GvTD, 47GvTD
- 16 Air Army.
- 8th GvCAA; 79TD, 27GvMSD, 39GvMSD, 57GvMSD, NVA MSD (res)
- 1st GvTA as CAA 9TD, 20GvMSD, 35MSD, 4 NVA MSD, NVA MSD (res)
- 20th Guards Army (TA) 32GvTD, 25 TD, 90GvTD, 11GvTD
- 4 Air Army
- 22 CAA; 30GvMSD, 18GvMSD, 48 MSD, 15 CSLA MSD, 31 TD
- 4 CSLA CAA; 2CSLA MSD, 19CSLA MSD, 20CSLA MSD 3CSLA MSD, 1CSLA TD
- 1 CSLA TA; 4CSLA TD, 9CSLA TD, 13CSLA TD, 15 TD (Soviet)
- 1 CSLA Air Army
- Trip Wire: 3 Fronts - 1/2 German and Czech, 2 Week Warning
- Soviet Preferred: 5/6 Fronts - as described above, 4 Weeks Warning
1st German Front Deployment
- 94GvMSD
- 21 MSD
- 207 MSD
- 6 MSD from Reinforcement from NGSF
- 17 TD
94GvMSD Zvenigorodsko Berlinskaya Order of Suverov
94 GvMSDs composition is reasonably well documented, from a number of Russian language sites and broadly seems to have consisted of the following:- 204 The Red Guards Motorized Rifle UmanskoBerlinsky Orders of Suvorov, Kutuzov and B.Hmelnitskogo Regiment (Schwerin) BMP, 204GvMSP
- 286 The Red Guards Motorized Rifle Regiment Brandenburg (Schwerin) BTR, 286 GvMSP
- 288 The Red Guards Motorized Rifle Regiment Chisinau (Wismar) BTR, 288 GvMSP
- 74 Guards Tank Valginsky Order of Lenin Red Banner Orders of Suvorov, Kutuzov and B.Hmelnitskogo Regiment (Schwerin), 74 GvTP
- 199 Guards Self-Propelled Artillery Regiment Brandenburg Red Banner (Wismar)
- 896 SAM Demblinsky Order of Alexander Nevsky Regiment (Schwerin)
- 20 Independent Tank Battalion (Schwerin)
- 496 separate anti-tank artillery battalion (Schwerin)
- 12 separate reconnaissance battalion (Schwerin)
- 159 separate communications battalion (Schwerin)
- 107 separate engineering battalion (Schwerin)
- 1130 separate battalion of material security
- 52 separate repair and refurbishment battalion
References:
- Fire and Fury, BAOR Orbat
- Russian GSFG site
- Land Forces in Lower Saxony
- Lower Saxony
- AFCENT deployment maps
- Cold War Decoded GSFG Post
- TMP Posts on 3rd Shock Army v BAOR
- Dutch Army Orbat and deployment
- The Third World War, General J Hackett
- Red Army - Ralph Peters
- Armies of NATO's Central Front
- The British Army in Germany, an Organisational History 1947 - 2004
- Confrontation; The Strategic Geography of NATO and The Warsaw Pact
- Forces 80 BAOR overview
- Warning of War in Europe, CIA
- ORBAT - Soviet Task Org, Fronts in the Western TVD
- ORBAT - 1980's Soviet MRR and TRR, Part 1 Deployment and ORBAT